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| Colin Samuels | 04 July 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Downloads are no longer new or even all that exciting. It's been over 4 years since iTunes launched and downloads were common even earlier than that. CD sales are now similar to levels in the mid 1980s, when music copying [via blank cassette] was as popular as now. Once cassettes became unpopular after the birth of the CD there was an enormous surge in album sales as there was no easy way to copy music. It would be years before CD Recorders became available and affordable and they were certainly not as quick, easy or intuitive as the Tape to Tape copiers of old. The music market has stabilised and the initial hit on CD sales has plateaud. Today's Times reports that "HMV, the music and video games retailer, said it was ahead of schedule in its three-year recovery drive after reporting a 25.2 per cent rise in full-year pre-tax profits to £56.6 million." In the year to May 2008 they experienced an 11.1% increase in like for like sales over last year. |
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| Colin Samuels | 18 January 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| So the end of the CD is in sight eh? More nonsense has been poured out on this subject that many others. The CD will not die until there is something to replace it. Downloads don't count as mature, time-poor buyers can't be bothered with downloading tracks onto a PC and then copying them onto an iPod and then making sure they've got backup copies in case the Hard Drive fails or the iPod is nicked. The CD is the ultimate backup for your tracks and quality is massively in excess of compressed mp3s where up to 90% of the original sound is lost! This is borne out by HMV's latest results showing that "Like for like sales in the UK and Ireland rose 14.1%" up to Christmas and full year profits are anticipated to be "at the top end of expectations"! |
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| Colin Samuels | 17 January 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Property prices are falling and banks are tightening credit. That's great, don't sell your property and don't bother applying for that loan, it will make your life easier! But the economy is strong and unemployment is at its lowest level since 1975! Back then the population was 56m and now it's 61m so an increase of 5m people while unemployment continues to drop. That means that in real terms unemployment is now at a phenomenally low level despite all the media whinging about immigrants taking jobs! | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Colin Samuels | 16 January 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Well, after a fantastic end to 2007 where CD volumes were up 20% on 2006 we are experiencing our busiest January in the history of the company. On top of this just today we received a report from the GCA (Garden Centre Association) advising that "Garden Centres ended 2007 on a high" with some Centres reporting Gift Department turnover up on the previous year by a staggering 35%. You may wonder with all the gloomy news about the economy how this year will shape up and I'm delighted to tell you that we are in the midst of our busiest ever January, so most Buyers remain confident and goods are continuing to move off shelves. Of course as music is a "comfort product" shops selling music do have some protection from the vagaries of consumer spending. In difficult times consumers will cut back on spending but with the exception of comfort items such as music and chocolate. So the message is if you're not selling music (or chocolate) perhaps it's time for a rethink! |
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| Colin Samuels | 08 January 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| After a refreshing break in Florida with my wife and kids I came home and quickly discovered when I opened the newspapers and browsed the BBC news website that life in the UK as we know it seemed close to disaster. The trains don't work and yet fares are increasing, a credit crunch is imminent with "tight credit market conditions", UK manufacturing is slowing, there are bleak prospects for the UK job market, oil prices are rising not to mention pessimistic news about the NHS and the nation's health, property prices and education standards. As I felt my heart begin to sink and my stress levels begin to rise I stopped to think about all the things that are wrong in this world and quickly realised that in fact as Harold Macmillan said in 1957 "You've never had it so good"! With all the doom and gloom in the news you might wonder how I can say that but when I think back to previous decades I realise that now is better than then. If you can think of a time when life was better perhaps you will hanker after the 60's when the Beatles were in their prime, we had flower power, the Mini car and even better, the Mini skirt. However this was also the time of the 4 minute warning and "reds under the bed". As a kid I was deeply concerned about being nuked by the Russians. The Vietnam war was in full flow, assassinations included President John F Kennedy, Martin Luther King Jr, Malcolm X and Robert Kennedy. In 1968 Richard Nixon became the US President (not a good thing for those too young to recall). There were student and worker riots (10 million workers on strike!) in France. The six day war took place in the Middle East as Egypt, Syria and Jordan amassed troops to attack Israel. Russia invaded Czechoslovakia. There was Thalidomide, Smog, High Rise Housing, Gender Inequality …. need I go on? Well perhaps a little ….. We had just 3 TV channels (2 until 1964!) and they were in monochrome and a large screen was 14". A TV cost 6 month's wages whereas a 14" flatscreen colour TV now is 2-3 days salary. The concept of video recorders was pure science fiction. We had no computers, video games or iPods and to keep in touch with relatives we had to write letters. International telephone calls were extremely expensive and therefore a very hurried affair and with echoes, delays and line noise too. Cars had no seatbelts, airbags, ABS brakes or other safety features and crashes resulted in high casualty rates. Mind you there weren't so many cars as they cost the equivalent of 2 years household income. Healthcare was awful compared to today with people dying from numerous conditions easily cured today. Holidays were expensive and for most of us restricted to the UK. I think you get the picture and if you thought of a different decade than the 60's then I can make an even bleaker list than above! So, what to do? Well for a start read the newspapers and watch the news less often or spend time in more positive company. How about http://www.positivenews.org.uk, http://newinspirer.com/ or http://www.happynews.com/ for your news? Listen to relaxing music, make the most of your time with family and friends and listen to Larry Winget if you're in a rut: http://www.larrywinget.com/ and for a touch of humour US style try http://www.theonion.com If all else fails then think about all that's good about the noughties; we have more free time and more disposable income than we ever had, we live longer and healthier lives have amazing technology giving us Internet, mobile phones, SatNav, dozens of TV channels that we can record on demand and so much more. |
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| Colin Samuels | 22 October 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| In September this year, Tesco acquired Scotland-based Dobbies garden centre chain for just under £156 million. While this was a positive step for the retail giant, which is constantly looking to underline its green credentials and keen to get a strong foothold in the lucrative gardening market, it signalled a new threat to garden centres across the UK. They would now have to contend with a well established household brand with very strong buying power. Although Tesco plans to continue trading using the Dobbies brand, its supermarket retail strategy suggests that it will focus strongly on value and diversification. This, especially during the busy Christmas and New Year periods, places even greater pressure on garden centre retailers to successfully extend their product portfolios and branch out into new areas. Dealing with diversification During the last few decades, garden centres have managed to overcome various challenges and have experienced phenomenal growth by introducing new, non-core products. Garden centre diversification really took off during the recession of the early 1980s when retailers were put under pressure to spread their income throughout the year rather than rely on the Spring time rush. Centres started to introduce cafés and then capitalised on the Christmas market by selling tree lights, tinsel and baubles. As the years passed, the festive product offering boomed from basic decorations to include trees, sophisticated indoor and outdoor decorations, gifts and even grottos. Garden centres throughout the UK became renowned for their special Christmas displays and festive atmospheres, and started to attract large audiences throughout the traditionally quiet winter months. In the 1990s, garden centres found that one of the most profitable ways to expand was to lease floor space to small concessions, which not only provided rental income but opened up centres to new audiences. Introducing non-core products such as household decorations, gifts, spas and pet products was a natural choice for garden centres to capitalise on and grow these new audiences. While it may seem that many garden centre retailers have successfully embraced diversification, they cannot rest on their laurels. Perturbed by the threat of supermarkets taking-over garden centres, the Forum for Private Business labelled this as a ‘scary time’ for independent garden centres and suppliers to garden retailers. Getting diversification right can enable centres to continue to cash-in on consumer spending, while getting it wrong can easily drive customers away. Coping with change Garden centre retailers should not panic about how the Dobbies takeover may impact on the market and their turnover. If anything, the publicity created by Tesco’s acquisition is good news for garden centres in general as it reiterates their widespread appeal. This is likely to encourage people to pay a visit to their local centre. Retailers should remain focused on the fact that they have established a strong customer base, which is characterised by brand loyalty. They have already overcome the difficult task of getting customers through the door and now need to channel their energies into tempting customers back on a regular basis. This can be achieved by offering a wider range of unique products. Making the right choices It is important for garden centres not to be seduced by passing fads or trends such as the latest children’s toys and novelty gifts. It is likely that fad products will be sold at a wide number of retail outlets, offering centres little differentiation and increasing the risk of products going unsold. Instead, centre retailers should consider stocking products that are not available on general retail. However, they need to ensure that new, non-core products do not: Compromise their retail environment Jeopardise core product (plant and garden accessory) sales Alienate customers Require a hard-sell Take-up too much valuable floor space Similarly, centre retailers should consider the merchandising that a supplier will provide to support product sales. They need to ask suppliers about the costs, functionality, size, colour and appearance of merchandising, before introducing it into their centres. These factors will determine how user and consumer friendly it is, whether it will suit the retail environment, how much space it will require and how much staff time it will command. Introducing large and overt merchandising spoils the relaxing garden centre experience and the consumer’s willingness to spend money. In addition, merchandising that is hard to set-up and use, requires a hard sell and is irritating, will not appeal to staff or customers and will prove useless. Merchandising needs to effectively communicate what a product is, the level of product quality and why a consumer would want to buy it. Consumers want to be easily able to differentiate between the levels of product available so they know exactly what they are getting for their money. Supplier diversification Like garden centres, Global Journey realise that in order to keep successfully selling products it must constantly evolve and always strive to offer more. More recently, Global Journey branched out into DVDs with the release of its ‘Killer Instinct’ and ‘Wildlife Paradise’ DVD ranges featuring the Discovery Channel’s Rob Bredl. The DVDs offer viewers a close-up look at animals and nature. For the past eight years, Global Journey has successfully supplied garden centres across the UK with lifestyle music CDs for consumer resale, selling more than one million CDs each year. The CD ranges include titles such as Sounds of Wildlife, Spa and World Music, and are supplied with unique, interactive display stands. Both CD and DVD display stands are designed to efficiently utilise floor space and neatly present the CDs and DVDs so that front covers are clearly visible and the products easily accessible. The CD display stands include a range of unique features including a touch panel display enabling customers to select and play CD tracks, ambient volume control, no same-day repeat on music tracks and voice guided installation. The DVD stands have been modified to include a TV screen that plays footage from the DVDs. Both sets of stands are supplied in a range of colours and sizes to suit different retail environments and have space for changeable graphics and pricing. Introducing the DVD ranges, which also feature crime and war titles, has enabled Global Journey to provide garden centres with another product that appeals to a wide ranging audience and does not require a hard-sell. The DVDs are sold exclusively via garden centres and gift shops, and are proving a huge sales hit. As diversification becomes increasingly important, Global Journey is looking beyond extending its product range and into other inventive methods of appealing to retailers and consumers. It is finalising an eco-friendly display stand that is made using sheet and tubular steel which is 100% recyclable, features MP3 players to reduce wastage from replacing worn out CD systems and wooden panels manufactured using recycled wood chips. While the garden centre market is set to become increasingly competitive, there are a number of ways that independent retailers can hold onto and grow their market share. Making the right choices about new products and services will play a key role in this. |
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| Colin Samuels | 14 September 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| It's not an easy job predicting the future. Spotting trends takes a considerable insight, just ask any fashion designer. I was recently asked how we know what music to commission and how we can be sure it will sell. There are many facets to determining demand and we concentrate our efforts on the most important indicators such as the movement of current popular genres and artists, market trends and the economy. Another factor affecting demand is predictable and newsworthy trends. Last month was the 30th anniversary of Elvis's death and no prizes for guessing that we commemorated the occasion with a new addition to our "Unique" series. However, more subtle is the analysis we do of the economy and you may wonder how that would affect the type of music people listen to. Well, there's an old truism that the more depression there is in the markets the more depression there is on the streets. Cue the development of soothing, chill out titles. A corollary of an upbeat economy is the demand for upbeat music and thus we develop the required music. So next time you're wondering how the economy is looking have a peek at our new releases for a clue. |
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| Colin Samuels | 18 July 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| "Storm in a Teacup" - That about sums up the Mail on Sunday giveaway of the new Prince Album "Planet Earth". Far from being "a major blow" to the music industry as the LA Times and others have mooted this is simply a marketing exercise. Simply put; Prince pockets $1m in royalty and license fees from the Mail on Sunday and The Mail boosts sales by perhaps 0.5m, plus both parties gain worldwide publicity. As Caroline Sullivan's review in the Guardian says: "Prince albums don't generate much discussion now, and even less airplay. The only reason Radio 1 had got in there was that Minneapolis's most prolific pop star had released the CD - his 46th album, counting hits and live collections - via the unique route of distributing it free through a newspaper, the Mail on Sunday. Had it not been for the hype, Planet Earth would have slipped out almost unnoticed, as many of his recent albums have done." So, nothing to do with the state of the music industry or sales of CDs generally and everything to do with an out of favour artist and a desperate newspaper (read that what way you will) trying to boost ratings. |
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| Colin Samuels | 11 July 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CD Sales are UP "Up"? I hear you say. "How can that be? Everywhere I look I see articles talking about CD sales being down". Well the devil is in the detail. I know I have mentioned on many an occasion about the reduction in CD sales affecting only the mainstream music stores but this is further borne out by the very report (Nielsen SoundScan State of the Industry) that details the decline of overall CD sales. Despite the decline of overall CD sales from traditional music stores the sales of non traditional music in non traditional stores isn't just holding its own - it's increasing healthily! Read this in the Nielsen Report: "Non-Traditional market share has gone from 3% to currently 17% in 4 years" - (1st quarter of 2007) "Album sales at Non-Traditional outlets were up 50% from '06 to '05" "YTD the Non-traditional strata has gained 5 points of album share since last year, taking away from Chain and Mass Merchant's share" This certainly reflects what we are seeing with our customers continuing to report increasing CD sales. For example our longstanding customer Hayes Garden World, Ambleside tells us that sales of Global Journey CDs for the last 6 weeks are 70% higher than for the same period in 2006. |
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| Colin Samuels | 15 June 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| What is compression and why does it matter? Lately there has been quite a furore about the use of compression in music. Since all the media attention about this process I have been asked many times to explain what compression is and why anyone should care. Very simply compression is a process applied to a music track. Once the music has been recorded many Producers decide to compress the music to boost quieter sections of the track nearer to the louder ones. This makes the overall volume (some might say noise!) of the track louder. "Why do this"? you may ask. Well compression, applied sensibly, can be positive and some music stations, Classic FM for example, compress the music they play as they broadcast it so that people listening in noisier environments can still hear the very quiet parts of the music. For Classical music this can be good if you are driving or working in an office or warehouse where there is a lot of background noise. The purist however will turn to BBC3 safe in the knowledge that the channel does not compress their music and they can hear it as originally recorded. We do not apply compression to our music and you can be sure that when you buy a Global Journey album that you are hearing it as it was played. |
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| Colin Samuels | 15 May 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The word of the day is "ubiquitous". That's the word that came to mind when we took the kids away for the recent bank holiday weekend. We visited several attractions including a popular zoo and the following day an aquarium. We also called into some gift shops and it seemed that everywhere we went we encountered Global Journey displays. On the last day on our way home we stopped into a Garden Centre and sure enough there was another of our displays. I felt like my work life was following me around and found myself taking mental notes to feedback to the sales team about the display's position or stock level. On another level I was delighted to see the number and diversity of outlets having success with our music. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Colin Samuels | 01 May 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Friday I discovered a flyer in the office from our launch of interactive merchandisers and it brought home to be just how much things have changed since then. The leaflet was undated but was probably from around 1993 with an image of an interactive merchandiser in a woodland setting. At the time of launch our entire music catalogue consisted of either nature sounds with music or pure nature sounds, extremely popular genres. I recall considerable amusement from the locals; not to mention the photographer; as we carted the display to the wood and proceeded to stock it with CDs and cassettes. The launch of the interactive merchandiser was quite controversial in the US as I recall because NorthSound Music had created their launch catalogue with a merchandiser on the front cover surrounded by animals in a forest scene. So far so uncontroversial you may think. However in their wisdom NorthSound had applied their Northern Wisconsin huntin' shootin' and fishin' vision of nature to the scene and all the wonderful but sadly deceased animals surrounding the merchandiser had been borrowed from a nearby taxidermist. Needless to say we decided to create our own version of the scene, minus stuffed animals, hence the aforementioned leaflet. |
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| Colin Samuels | 18 April 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sales of Downloads are increasing. No surprise there. According to the recently released Australian Recording Industry's annual report to 31 December 2006 downloads increased 320%. But, as we have stated for many months, CD sales are up too! Now we recognise that CD sales may at some stage reach a peak but that is the extreme opposite to the decline posited by the doom mongers. So much so in fact that the ARIA report shows that CD sales increased 7.89% So perhaps the whole CD vs. downloads debate is moot. It seems that we have growth in both formats. Downloads are a useful way to grab and store mobile music if you want to buy by the track but for quality, security and the complete physical package there's nothing on the horizon to beat the humble CD. |
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| Colin Samuels | 29 March 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| What switches you off ? I suppose that with greatly increased awareness, interest and concern for the environment virtually worldwide I should not have been surprised about the exceptional increase in demand for wildlife and nature sounds both with and without musical accompaniment. We noticed a rapid increase in particular since the beginning of the year. It's been a few years since this type of audio was in demand and from my perspective as someone who likes to spend time outdoors; cross country running and cycling; it's great to see a resurgence of interest in this subject. So what do you listen to; to take you from where you are now to where you would most like to be? |
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| Colin Samuels | 19 March 2007 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| So Jeremy Clarkson is in favour of "Chill-out CDs". I don't believe that too many of us take his ranting ramblings in the Sunday Times, or elsewhere for that matter, too seriously but his mention of the genre in the 11 March edition of The Sunday Times is representative of the zeitgeist for relaxation and stress-busting audio. In over a quarter of a century in the business this year has started as our busiest ever for CD sales with exceptional demand for our Chillout titles. I know that at the end of the day when I want to wind down I can do without thumping pop or rock music. Don't get me wrong; I am more than happy to listen to my Linkin Park album when in the humour but within my burgeoning music collection is a fair collection of Classical, Ambient and Chillout albums. So perhaps this need to recover from the stresses of the day explains the growth and acceptance of the Chillout album into mainstream music? |
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